This paper describes a direct revelation mechanism for eliciting decision makers’ introspective beliefs on sets of subjective prior or posterior probabilities. The proposed scheme constitutes a revealed-preference procedure for measuring the inclination of decision makers to choose one alternative over another modeled by Minardi and Savochkin (2015).
A Mechanism for Eliciting Second-Order Beliefs and the Inclination to Choose
Edi Karni
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American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 2018