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Scott and Barbara Black Professor of Economics
My research focuses on the study of individual decision making under uncertainty, the foundations of Bayesian decision making, the representation of beliefs by subjective probabilities, mechanism designs and incentive contracts, and the ethical meaning of utilitarianism
“A theory of Bayesian decision making with action-dependent subjective probabilities", Economic Theory, Vol. 48 (September, 2011):125¨C146
“On the conjunction fallacy of probability judgement: New experimental evidence regarding Linda", Games and Economic Behavior, Vol. 68, No. 2 (2010): 551-556
“A Mechanism for Eliciting Probabilities", Econometrica, Vol. 77, No. 2 (March, 2009): 603-606
“Familiarity Breeds Completeness", Economic Theory, Vol. 56, No. 1 (May, 2014): 109-124
"Reverse Bayesianism": A Choice-Based Theory of Growing Awareness, American Economic Review, Vol. 103 (2013): 2790-2810.
"Ambiguity Attitudes and Social Interactions: An Experimental Investigation", Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Vol. 46 (2013), 1-25.
"Expected Multi-Utility Representations", Mathematical Social Sciences, Vol. 64 (2012), 242-246.
"Subjective Expected Utility with Incomplete Preferences", Econometrica, Vol. 81, No. 1 (January, 2013): 255--284.
"Axiomatic Foundations of Expected Utility and Subjective Probability", In: Mark J. Machina, W. Kip Viscusi, editors, Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty, Vol. 1 (2014), Oxford: North Holland.
"Bayesian Decision Theory with Action-Dependent Probabilities and Risk-Attitudes", Economic Theory, Vol. 53 (2013): 335-356.
"Helping Patients and Physicians Reach Individualized Medical Decisions: Theory and Application to Prenatal Diagnostic Testing", Theory and Decision, Vol. 76 (2014): 451-467.
"Continuity, Completeness and the Definition of Weak Preferences", Mathematical Social Sciences, Vol. 62 (2011): 123-125.
"Red Herrings: Some Thoughts on the Meaning of Zero-Probability Events and Mathematical Modeling", Economic Letters, Vol. 107 (2010): 134-135.
"Subjective Probabilities on a State Space", American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, Vol. 3 (November, 2011): 172--185.
"A Theory of Medical Decision Making under Uncertainty", Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Vol. 39 (June, 2009): 1--16.
Economics 615 -- Mathematical Methods in Economics I:
This graduate course covers some topics in real analysis and static optimization theory. Topics include: Sets and operations on sets; topological concepts in metric spaces; linear spaces and convex analysis; nonlinear programming.
Economics 611 -- Economics of Uncertainty:
This graduate course explores theories of individual decision making under uncertainty. Topics covered include: the foundations of subjective expected utility theory; the theory of risk aversion; the theory of stochastic dominance; nonexpected utility theories. The emphasis in this course is on theory, the implications of the theoretical concepts and ideas, however, are illustrated by application to portfolio selection theory and insurance economics.
Economics 612 -- Economics of Information:
This graduate course provides an economic analysis of economic institutions designed to mitigate the welfare loss associated with disincentives in presence of asymmetric information. Topics covered include: the theory of contracts in the presence of moral hazard; equilibrium analysis in the presence of adverse selection ; the theory of auctions.